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☆ The US dollar is central to Argentina's plan to fix its broken economy. There's just one hitch.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Argentina's new president Javier Milei wants to adopt the US dollar to tame sky-high inflation. There's a major problem with his plan to revive the ailing South American economy. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementRight-wing economist Javier Milei won Argentina's presidential runoff Sunday – and that means the country could soon ditch the peso for the US dollar. Under the president-elect's plan, the government would scrap the peso and replace it with the dollar.

Persons: Javier Milei, doesn't, —, Milei, Mary, Read, John Hopkins, Steve Hanke, Guillermo Ortiz, Nora Mazzini, Lucila Bonilla Organizations: Service, Central Bank of, US Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund, Bank, Reuters, Bloomberg, Bank of Mexico, Economics, Oxford Economics Locations: Central Bank of Argentina, Ecuador, El, Panama, Argentina, Mar del Plata, Argentine

☆ Mexico inflation still easing but rate cuts seen only next year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A man buys vegetables at a stall in an outdoor market in downtown of Ciudad Juarez, Mexico July 27, 2023. Consumer prices rose 0.38% in October, according to non-seasonally adjusted figures, mainly driven by core inflation including higher food, beverage and service costs. The annual headline inflation reading came in slightly below economist forecasts in a Reuters poll, which stood at 4.28%. The closely monitored core index, which strips out some volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.39% during the month, while annual core inflation came in at 5.5%, in line with market expectations. "This report strengthens our view that headline inflation will remain under control over the coming months," said Pantheon Macroeconomics chief Latin America economist Andres Abadia, but "admittedly services inflation is still a bit sticky.

Persons: Jose Luis Gonzalez, Jason Tuvey, Banxico, Andres Abadia, Gabriel Araujo, Steven Grattan, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of, Capital, Sao Paulo, Thomson Locations: Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, Bank of Mexico, Banxico, America, Sao

☆ Mexico sees solid economic expansion but price pressures persist
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Yorio said he sees annual inflation stabilizing at around 4.5% toward the end of the year. However, Bank of Mexico board member Jonathan Heath cautioned that the slowing pace of the inflation rate in recent months should not prompt premature celebration, local media outlet El Financiero reported on Wednesday. We still see a long battle ahead and this inflation phenomenon has really been much more complex than we would have imagined," said Heath. His comments come as the central bank has kept its benchmark interest rate at 11.25% since March, following a nearly two-year rate-hike cycle. Reporting by Ana Isabel Martinez and Isabel Woodford; Writing by Sarah Morland; Editing by Stephen Eisenhammer and Alistair BellOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Gabriel Yorio, Yorio, Jonathan Heath, we're, Heath, Ana Isabel Martinez, Isabel Woodford, Sarah Morland, Stephen Eisenhammer, Alistair Bell Organizations: MEXICO CITY, Mexican Senate, U.S, automaking, Bank of, El, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, Latin America, Mexican, Bank, Bank of Mexico

Data from Mexico's financial products watchdog Condusef shows that the accounts would be the highest-yielding ones offered in the local financial sector. Other Latin American fintechs like Brazil's Nubank (NUN.MX) and Argentina's UALA have also launched savings accounts this year in Mexico, where data from the national statistics agency showed less than half of the population has savings accounts. The Mexican arms of Nubank and UALA both offer 9% yields on their savings accounts, already much higher than most banks. Stori expects to reach 3 million savings account holders by the end of next year, said its General Manager of New Products Sergio Duenas. ($1 = 18.0044 Mexican pesos)Reporting by Valentine Hilaire; Editing by David Alire Garcia, Christian Plumb and Marguerita ChoyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Marlene Garayzar, Sergio Duenas, Valentine Hilaire, David Alire Garcia, Christian Plumb, Marguerita Choy Organizations: MEXICO CITY, Wednesday, Reuters, The Bank of, New, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, Mexico, The Bank of Mexico, Nubank

☆ Mexico inflation continues slowdown in early September
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A man sells corn grains at a public market in Ozumba de Alzate, State of Mexico, Mexico, May 24, 2022. Headline inflation in Latin America's second-largest economy hit 4.44% in the 12 months through early September, down from 4.64% at the end of August, data from statistics agency INEGI showed. If not, we're talking about the Bank of Mexico standing on just one foot," the president told a press conference. It warned that it would be necessary to maintain it for an "extended" period to meet its inflation target of 3%, plus or minus one percentage point. Mexico's economy grew 0.2% in July from June and expanded 3.2% from the same month a year before, the national statistics agency said earlier on Friday.

Persons: Edgard Garrido, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Banxico, Lopez Obrador, Peter Frontini, Raul Cortes Fernandez, Brendan O'Boyle, Natalia Siniawski, Alistair Bell Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Ozumba de Alzate, State, Mexico, Bank of Mexico

☆ Mexico's Election Year Deficit Plan Fuels Fear Over Finances
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Sept. | At P.M. | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +3 min

By Dave Graham and Diego OréMEXICO CITY (Reuters) - The Mexican government's plan to run up the biggest budget deficit in decades during the 2024 general election year could put pressure on public finances and eventually threaten its credit rating, analysts said on Monday. Lopez Obrador last week backed former Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum as his party's candidate to succeed him. Historic data show the projected budget deficit for 2024 will be the highest since 1988 as a proportion of GDP. The government's higher spending plans should bolster Latin America's second-biggest economy, which has outpaced forecasts this year, brightening the outlook for 2024. He also noted that since Mexico's current account deficit is currently considerably lower than foreign direct investment, there was a pool of untapped demand in the economy that the government could temporarily offset via higher spending.

Persons: Dave Graham, Diego, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Lopez, Patricia Terrazas, Lopez Obrador, Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum, Gabriela Siller, Alberto Ramos, Goldman Sachs, Ramos, Raul Feliz, Feliz, Diego Ore, Noe Torres, Jamie Freed Organizations: MEXICO CITY, Lopez Obrador's, Action Party, PAN, Mexico City Mayor, Banco Base, Bank of Locations: MEXICO, Mexico, Bank of Mexico, Mexico City

REUTERS/Raquel Cunha Acquire Licensing RightsMEXICO CITY, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The Mexican government's plan to run up the biggest budget deficit in decades during the 2024 general election year could put pressure on public finances and eventually threaten its credit rating, analysts said on Monday. Lopez Obrador last week backed former Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum as his party's candidate to succeed him. Historic data show the projected budget deficit for 2024 will be the highest since 1988 as a proportion of GDP. The government's higher spending plans should bolster Latin America's second-biggest economy, which has outpaced forecasts this year, brightening the outlook for 2024. He also noted that since Mexico's current account deficit is currently considerably lower than foreign direct investment, there was a pool of untapped demand in the economy that the government could temporarily offset via higher spending.

Persons: Mexico's Finance Ministry Rogelio Ramirez de la O, Marcela Guerra, Raquel Cunha, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Lopez, Patricia Terrazas, Lopez Obrador, Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum, Gabriela Siller, Alberto Ramos, Goldman Sachs, Ramos, Raul Feliz, Feliz, Dave Graham, Diego Ore, Noe Torres, Jamie Freed Organizations: Mexico's Finance Ministry, Mexican, REUTERS, Lopez Obrador's, Action Party, PAN, Mexico City Mayor, Banco Base, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Mexico City, Mexico, MEXICO, Bank of Mexico

☆ Exclusive: Mexico budget sees lower growth, slower inflation in 2024 -draft
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( Ana Isabel Martinez | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MEXICO CITY, Sept 8 (Reuters) - Mexico's finance ministry expects economic growth to slow in 2024 to around 2.4% from some 3% this year, according to draft budget forecasts seen by Reuters on Friday. The ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment about the forecasts, which were in a draft document and confirmed by a source familiar with the matter. The draft was not dated, but the source said the figures were up to date. The ministry is due to present the official 2024 budget to lawmakers in Congress later on Friday. According to the document, the government estimates that headline inflation will ease to 3.8% at the end of 2024 from 4.5% at the close of this year.

Persons: Ana Isabel Martinez, Stephen Eisenhammer Organizations: MEXICO CITY, Reuters, Bank of, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, Bank of Mexico, Mexico's

☆ Mexican core inflation slows more than expected to 20-month low
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Natalia Siniawski | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

That drop was off the back of lower core goods inflation, Capital Economics analyst Jason Tuvey said, while services inflation - which central bank board members have described as "sticky" - remained above 5% year over year. Annual core inflation in the second half of the month was "good news," said central bank board member Jonathan Heath on social media network X. Headline inflation edged downward to 4.64% in the month, in line with market expectations and its lowest since March 2021. That was driven by softer core price pressures, Capital's Tuvey said, but with inflation in the services sector still proving stubborn, the central bank is still unlikely to kick off an interest-rate easing cycle soon. The closely watched core price index rose 0.27% during the month (MXCPIX=ECI).

Persons: Jose Luis Gonzalez, Jason Tuvey, Jonathan Heath, Capital's Tuvey, Andres Abadia, Natalia Siniawski, Kylie Madry, Frances Kerry, Aurora Ellis Organizations: REUTERS, Capital, Reuters, of, Macroeconomics, America, Thomson Locations: Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, of Mexico

☆ Mexico's core inflation to fall to lowest level since late 2021 in August
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Customers look at fruits at a makeshift stall in a market in Mexico City, Mexico April 8, 2022. Meanwhile, annual core inflation is forecast to have slowed to 6.12%, which would mark its lowest level since December 2021. The closely watched core price index is considered a better gauge of price trends because it strips out some volatile food and energy prices. In August alone, consumer prices likely rose 0.52% compared to July, while core inflation is forecast to have risen 0.30%, according to the poll. (MXINFL=ECI), (MXCPIX=ECI)Mexico's national statistics agency INEGI will publish consumer price index data for August on Thursday.

Persons: Luis Cortes, Bank of Mexico Governor Victoria Rodriguez, Noe Torres, Gabriel Burin, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of, Bank of Mexico Governor, Thomson Locations: Mexico City, Mexico, MEXICO, Bank, Bank of Mexico, Buenos Aires

☆ Bank of Mexico again holds interest rate firm, even as region begins cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Brendan O'Boyle | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The logo of Mexico's Central Bank (Banco de Mexico) is seen at its building in downtown Mexico City, Mexico February 28, 2019. The unanimous decision by the central bank's five-member board is the third consecutive rate hold since Banxico, as the Bank of Mexico is known, halted a two-year hiking cycle in May amid easing inflation. Rate cuts in Mexico are unlikely until late 2023, analysts say, even as central banks begin easing their monetary policy. Annual inflation in Mexico slowed for the sixth consecutive month in July, official data showed on Wednesday, landing at 4.79%, but still above the central bank's target. In recent weeks, central banks in Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, and Uruguay have cut their interest rates after aggressive monetary tightening cycles.

Persons: Daniel Becerril, Banxico, Jason Tuvey, Brendan O'Boyle, Sarah Morland, Anthony Esposito, Richard Chang Organizations: Mexico's Central Bank, Banco, REUTERS, Bank of, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: Banco de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico, MEXICO, Bank of Mexico, Latin America, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Uruguay

☆ Bank of Mexico seen holding key rate at 11.25% for the second time
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MEXICO CITY, June 20 (Reuters) - Mexico's central bank will likely keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged in its next monetary policy decision, a Reuters poll showed on Tuesday, amid a slowdown in inflation. The 20 analysts polled by Reuters see the Latin American country's central bank maintaining borrowing costs at the current rate of 11.25% for the second time in the announcement scheduled for Thursday. The Mexican central bank, known as Banxico, unanimously held its benchmark interest rate steady at 11.25% in its last meeting, breaking a nearly two-year rate-hike cycle during which it raised the rate by 725 basis points to combat rising consumer prices. According to another Reuters poll, Mexico's headline inflation could hit 5.30% in the first two weeks of June, reaching its lowest level in more than two years. Banxico will announce its next interest rate decision on Thursday at 1 p.m. local time (1900 GMT).

Persons: Banxico, Noe Torres, Gabriel Burin, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: MEXICO CITY, Reuters, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, Mexican, Buenos Aires

☆ Mexican inflation seen at lowest level in more than two years: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MEXICO CITY, June 19 (Reuters) - Mexico's headline inflation likely reached its lowest level in more than two years during the first half of June, but remained above the central bank's target, a Reuters poll showed on Monday, reinforcing bets the bank will keep the key rate steady longer. The median forecast of 11 analysts sees annual headline inflation at 5.30%, its lowest level since the second half of March 2021, although it would still be significantly higher than the official target of 3%, plus or minus a percentage point. The core index, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, is forecast to have slid to 7.02% year-on-year, its lowest level since March 2022. (MXCPIF=ECI), (MXCPIH=ECI)Mexico's statistics institute will release inflation data for the first half of June on Thursday. Reporting by Noe Torres; Additional reporting by Gabriel Burin in Buenos Aires; Editing by Sandra MalerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Noe Torres, Gabriel Burin, Sandra Maler Organizations: MEXICO CITY, Bank of, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, Bank of Mexico, Buenos Aires

☆ Mexico's mighty peso hits 7-year record high against U.S. dollar
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Noe Torres | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Some analysts chalk up the peso's latest gains, however, as mostly the flip side of a weakening greenback. The peso gained 0.95% on Monday to trade at 17.42 pesos per dollar, its strongest level since May 2016. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador repeatedly touts the peso's strength as evidence of sound macroeconomic policies, especially his administration's budget austerity and pledge to avoid taking on new debt. "A big part of (the peso's strength) is the dollar's weakness," he said, adding that the Mexican economy further benefits from growing flows of fixed investments into the country. "Mexico has shown itself to be the least ugly person at the party," quipped Gonzali, helping it attract more dance partners.

☆ Bank of Mexico likely to consider holding key interest rate steady
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MEXICO CITY, April 25 (Reuters) - The Bank of Mexico's governing board may consider keeping its benchmark interest rate steady at its next monetary policy meeting, in what would be its first rate hold after 15 straight hikes, Central Bank Governor Victoria Rodriguez said on Tuesday. Banxico, as the Mexican central bank is known, hiked its key lending rate by 25 basis points to 11.25% at its March 29 meeting, moderating the pace of a tightening cycle that began in mid-2021 and striking a more dovish tone. For nearly two years, the bank has boosted borrowing costs to slow the rise in consumer prices. Banxico would keep close watch on so-called core inflation, Rodriguez added. "At least for the next decisions, we will not yet discuss the possibility of a rate decrease.

☆ Rising consumer prices in Mexico eased to a 17-month low in March
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

February's inflation rate stood at 7.62%. Still, core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, slowed to 8.09% from 8.29% the previous month. Month-on-month, Mexico's headline consumer price index rose by 0.27% in March, just under the 0.31% forecast in a Reuters poll. The latest data came ahead of a virtual meeting Wednesday between Latin American leaders from Mexico, Chile, Argentina, Brazil and Colombia, to discuss measures aimed at combating rising prices in the region. Last week, Mexico's central bank hiked its key interest rate to 11.25%, but moderating the pace of its tightening cycle.

☆ Mexico inflation eases to 17-month low of 6.85% in March
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

April 5 (Reuters) - Mexico's annual inflation slowed in March by more than expected to 6.85%, the lowest rate in nearly 1-1/2 years, although core price pressures remained elevated, data from national statistics agency INEGI showed on Wednesday. The March reading was the lowest since October 2021, and came in below the consensus forecast of 6.90%, as determined by a Reuters poll. Still, a measure of core inflation, which strips out some volatile items, slowed less than anticipated to 8.09% from 8.29% the previous month. Month-on-month, Mexico's headline consumer price index rose by 0.27%, less than the 0.31% forecast in the Reuters poll. Banxico has raised rates by 725 basis points since its rate-hiking cycle started in June 2021 to combat inflation.

☆ Bank of Mexico hikes key interest rate to 11.25%, takes dovish tone on future moves
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MEXICO CITY, March 30 (Reuters) - The Bank of Mexico's five-member governing board unanimously voted to hike the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 11.25% on Thursday, moderating the pace of its tightening cycle and taking a more dovish tone on the future of rate moves. Banxico, as the Mexican central bank is known, removed language in its post-meeting statement that appeared in prior statements explicitly mentioning the possibility of future upward adjustments to the key rate. Over the prior 10 straight meetings Banxico had increased the key rate by 50 basis points six times and 75 basis points four times. The last time it had hiked by 25 basis points was in November 2021. We project policy rate will peak 11.5% by mid-2023, and Banxico will begin a gradual policy easing in the later part of the year," said Carlos Morales, sovereign director at Fitch Ratings.

☆ Bank of Mexico seen hiking key rate by 25 basis points on Thursday
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Noe Torres | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MEXICO CITY, March 27 (Reuters) - The Bank of Mexico is expected to moderate the pace of its monetary tightening, and hike the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Thursday as inflation has shown signs of cooling, a Reuters poll showed on Monday. All 20 analysts surveyed said they expect Banxico, as the Mexican central bank is known, to increase the key rate to 11.25%, in what would be the 15th rate hike in a row. (MXCBIR=ECI)Banxico's five-member governing board unanimously voted to increase the key rate by 50 basis points to 11.00% in early February, beating market forecasts, citing a complex inflation scenario. At the time, Banxico suggested that while its rate hiking cycle was not over, future increases could be smaller. Banxico has raised its key interest rate by 700 basis points to 11.00% since its rate-hiking cycle started in June 2021 to combat inflation.

☆ After steep climb in rates, Latam central banks show no signs of reversal
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-07 | by ( Isabel Woodford | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Brazilian central bank's weekly survey of private economists last year foresaw cuts in June 2023, but a recent survey pushed the forecast back to November. The central bank's poll of traders now expects cuts won't come until May, likely making Chile the first mover. "We've had a quite a few hawkish comments from central banks across the region, pushing back against the idea of rate cuts," she added. That gives central banks the message that it's not quite time to think about a more relaxed monetary policy," he said. Political unrest in Peru may have also moved back the goalpost for cuts, with the central bank warning that protests have caused supply chain disruption and impacted consumer prices.

☆ Mexican central bank poised for lower rate hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

"And, thus, limiting the next decision by referring to a policy rate adjustment of lower magnitude implies a high and costly risk of correction if the assumptions do not materialize," she said. In the minutes, board members underscored their concern over core inflation, which strips out some volatile food and energy prices, even as headline inflation has eased. "Most members pointed out that core inflation, which reflects inflation's trend more accurately, still does not show a downward trend. All five board members expressed concern that core inflation was more persistent than expected. The latest inflation data, released on Thursday, showed a slight easing, with annual core inflation down to 8.38% in the first half of February from 8.46% in the second half of January.

Banxico, as the Mexican central bank is known, has raised its benchmark interest rate by 700 basis points since its rate-hiking cycle started in June 2021, as inflation surged far beyond its target of 3%, plus or minus 1 percentage point. Initially Heath, who is regarded as one board's most hawkish members, expected to vote for a 25 basis points hike at the last meeting, until incoming data painted a "less benign" picture for inflation. He added that new information could sway Banxico's board members one way or another before the March 30 meeting. "Frontloading" with a half percentage point hike sought to keep that jump in services inflation to a one-off situation, said Heath, noting he saw price pressures starting to transition to more local and domestic factors from the predominantly global factors seen in recent years. Reporting by Anthony Esposito and Noe Torres; Editing by David HolmesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Annual headline inflation in the first half of the month reached 7.94%, beating both the 7.77% recorded in the month of December and economists' forecasts of 7.86%, though still below the two-decade high of 8.70% registered in August and September. That means annual inflation remains far above the Bank of Mexico's target rate of 3%, plus or minus one percentage point. It is unlikely that the bank will make any cuts to the interest rate in the next six months, Bank of Mexico board member Jonathan Heath said in an interview last week. In the first half of January, according to statistics agency INEGI, consumer prices rose 0.46% compared to the previous two-week period, while the core index rose 0.44%, both also exceeding market estimates. Mexico's Latin American peer Brazil, where monetary tightening is on pause, also released mid-month inflation data on Tuesday, with prices slightly beating market forecasts.

☆ Mexican central banker says 'it is clear' economy is slowing
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MEXICO CITY, Jan 20 (Reuters) - Mexico's economy is slowing, Bank of Mexico deputy governor Jonathan Heath said on Friday after official data showed economic activity shrank in November and December. Economic activity in Latin America's second-largest economy slipped 0.4% in December from November and contracted 0.1% in November from October in seasonally-adjusted terms, according to a preliminary estimate from national statistics agency INEGI. "It is clear that we are facing a slowdown in economic activity," Heath said. The data from INEGI also showed that economic activity likely grew by 2.7% in the 12 months through December and by 4.1% in the 12 months through November. Reporting by Anthony Esposito; Editing by Steven Grattan and Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Banxico nominee Mejia pledges independence at congressional hearing
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MEXICO CITY, Jan 17 (Reuters) - A nominee of the Mexican government to join the Bank of Mexico's governing board, Omar Mejia, backed the central bank's monetary tightening policies on Tuesday and promised transparency and independence if chosen for the role. "It is crucial to preserve (the bank's) autonomy and maintain a strict respect for it in order to guarantee the institution's credibility," Mejia told a congressional committee. Since then, the Banxico board has increased Mexico's benchmark interest rate by a total of 650 basis points. The lower house committee voted in favor of advancing Mejia's nomination, which must be approved by the full chamber and then the Senate before Mejia can join the Banxico board. Reporting by Brendan O'Boyle; Editing by Isabel WoodfordOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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